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Aurelius Township - Ingham County - Michigan - U.S.A.
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National Weather Service Forecast
Aurelius Township, Michigan, U.S.A.
Forecast issued at 3:05 am EST Dec 6, 2023 by the National Weather Service Grand Rapids, MI
4    D A Y    F O R E C A S T    A T    A    G L A N C E
 
Overnight

Overnight: Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 29. Northwest wind 3 to 5 mph.
Mostly Cloudy
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly Cloudy
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 33. Southwest wind 8 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday

Thursday: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 46. Southwest wind 9 to 13 mph.
Decreasing
Clouds
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. South wind 8 to 10 mph.
Partly Cloudy
Friday

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 52.
Partly Sunny
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Mostly Cloudy
Saturday

Saturday: Rain likely, mainly after 1pm.  Cloudy, with a high near 54.
Rain Likely
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Rain.  Cloudy, with a low around 37. Breezy.
Rain and
Breezy
 
Lo 29 °F Hi 39 °F Lo 33 °F Hi 46 °F Lo 34 °F Hi 52 °F Lo 43 °F Hi 54 °F Lo 37 °F
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Overnight through Monday Night
 
  Overnight

Overnight: Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 29. Northwest wind 3 to 5 mph.
Mostly Cloudy
  Lo 29 °F
 
Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 29. Northwest wind 3 to 5 mph.
 
 
  Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly Cloudy
  Hi 39 °F
 
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
  Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 33. Southwest wind 8 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Mostly Cloudy
  Lo 33 °F
 
Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 33. Southwest wind 8 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
 
 
  Thursday

Thursday: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 46. Southwest wind 9 to 13 mph.
Decreasing
Clouds
  Hi 46 °F
 
Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 46. Southwest wind 9 to 13 mph.
  Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. South wind 8 to 10 mph.
Partly Cloudy
  Lo 34 °F
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. South wind 8 to 10 mph.
 
 
  Friday

Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 52.
Partly Sunny
  Hi 52 °F
 
Partly sunny, with a high near 52.
  Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.
Mostly Cloudy
  Lo 43 °F
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43.
 
 
  Saturday

Saturday: Rain likely, mainly after 1pm.  Cloudy, with a high near 54.
Rain Likely
  Hi 54 °F
 
Rain likely, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 54.
  Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Rain.  Cloudy, with a low around 37. Breezy.
Rain and
Breezy
  Lo 37 °F
 
Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 37. Breezy.
 
 
  Sunday   Rain likely before 1pm, then a chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 42.   Sunday Night   A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28.  
 
  Monday   Partly sunny, with a high near 37. Breezy.   Monday Night   Partly cloudy, with a low around 27.  
 
 
 
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ADDITIONAL FORECAST SOURCES
CBS 6 - WLNS - Lansing, MI
NBC 10 - WILX - Lansing, MI
FOX 47 - WSYM - Lansing, MI

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Advisories to the south
Advisories South
National Weather Service
Grand Rapids, Michigan, U.S.A.
-    A R E A    F O R E C A S T    D I S C U S S I O N    -
Forecast Discussion for GRR NWS Office
000 FXUS63 KGRR 060824 AFDGRR  Area Forecast Discussion National Weather
Service Grand Rapids MI 324 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023  LATEST UPDATE... Short
Term/Long Term/Marine  .SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday) Issued at 324
AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023  A few light snow showers and flurries will continue
to develop through the morning with h8 temps down around -8 C yielding
delta t/s in the middle teens. Precipitation will taper off toward midday
as deeper moisture decreases and h8 temps begin to moderate.  Dry wx is
expected for most of our area tonight. A mid to upper level disturbance
passing by well to the north to ne of our area may bring just a few light
mixed light rain/light snow showers to our ne fcst area. Milder and dry wx
is forecast for Thursday. A fair amount of sun in conjunction with
increasing sw flow waa will help to boost max temps well into the 40s. 
.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 324 AM EST Wed Dec
6 2023  The latest 00Z deterministic runs of the ECMWF/GFS/Canadian have
all changed their tune quite a bit as far as the late weekend weather goes.
The longwave trough which digs over the center of the nation is now shown
to be a bit more progressive and less amplified so the sfc frontal zone
just drifts east through Michigan with no notable sfc low developing along
it.  This scenario would mean a round of rain showers Friday night through
Saturday night ahead/along of the front, followed by some light lake effect
snow showers in the cold advection behind the front Sunday into Monday.
Ensemble 50th percentile QPF amounts have lowered, as well as the threat of
stronger winds.  That said there are still a few (minority) ensembles
members which support the idea of a decent sfc low developing along the
baroclinic zone although that number is shrinking in the new 00Z data. A
few members are also still putting down a stripe of synoptic snow through
the area but it should be noted that the EC ENS 90th percentile snow
amounts have lowered considerably and the prob of >6" is now less than 10
percent.  So while overall fcst confidence still remains relatively low for
later in the weekend, the risk of any higher impact weather is definitely
decreasing in the new 00Z 12/6 data.  Otherwise confidence is high
regarding the unseasonable warmth preceding the frontal passage, with temps
Friday expected to be in the 50s and even a decent potential for sunshine.
Similar highs are possible on Saturday as well, especially over ern
sections, depending on frontal timing and shower coverage. 

NWS GRR Office Area Forecast Discussion

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